Parts of northeast Luzon, Philippines are under storm signal #1 today as a tropical system the Philippine government is referring to as “Tino”.
The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) locates the cyclone approximately 108miles (200km) east of Tuguegarao City moving west at 7kts (8mph or 13kph).
Maximum sustained winds according to PAGASA are near 30kts (35mph or 56kph).
Storm Signal #1 means winds 16kts (18mph or 30kph) to 32kts (37mph or 59kph) are possible within 36 hours. It is the first of and lightest of four storm signals. Typical expectations are broken small limbs and other light crop damages as well as unroofing on homes of light materials.
“Tino” is not a true tropical depression as it has yet to have a closed surface circulation; a requirement for tropical cyclones. While Tino does have an impressive mid and upper-level structure, it must establish a surface circulation before the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre – Tokyo (RSMC) will initiate advisories on the system.
Nonetheless, a 02/1730Z (Nov. 2, 12:30 PM EST, Nov. 3, 1:30 AM PHT) GMS-6 infrared image shows cooling cloud tops over and to the south of PAGASA’s estimated location.
What’s interesting to note is PAGASA indicates the system has moved southwest of this morning’s location. This would put more of northern Philippines under a threat of heavier rains. In addition, the organizing structure of the cyclone would help consolidate the heaviest convection and rainfall closer to the center of circulation.
Currently, I cannot find any recent estimates of rainfall potential for this system but I will continue to look for them throughout the day. Based on this morning’s data and current trends I’d say 1.0in (25.4mm) per hour with slightly higher rates on the windward side of mountainous regions is not out of the question.
Should the system be upgraded to a tropical storm, the next available official name is Nida.
Related posts:
- Typhoon Melor will hit Japan; Tropical Storm Parma revisits Philippines
- Tropical Depression 24W to bring more rains to central Philippines
- Seven dead in Philippines; Tropical Storm Mirinae heads towards Vietnam
- Tropical Storm Mirinae passes through Mariana Islands; yet another threat to Philippines
- Typhoon Parma set to strike Philippines as cat 3; Super Typhoon Melor headed towards Mariana Islands
{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }
hey, tim. so another storm creeping up on phillipines? amazing.
blair, have you heard from your fam, yet? how are they doing?
btw thanks for the updates, blair
Agreed.
Stormfan, I did hear from Blair this morning so I’d imagine all is well.
In reference to “Tino”, there will be a fresh update from the JTWC at 4:00 PM CST, 10:00 PM UTC; will comment on any changes as necessary