GOES Visible - Nov. 9, 3:32 PM CST - courtesy UCAR RAP
The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center has Tropical Storm Ida 165 miles south-southwest of Pensacola, moving north at 16kts (18mph or 29kph). Though the latest official forecast from the NHC did not have Ida making landfall until early Tuesday morning, it seems Ida will be coming ashore much earlier than that; I believe by midnight tonight.
Long range reflectivity from Mobile, AL - Nov. 9, 3:58 PM CST
Numerous buoys in the region are reporting data from Ida. The closest observation was from station 42887 – Thunder Horse (yes, THAT Thunder Horse). Currently, the BP oil platform is reporting east-southeast winds of 35kts (40mph or 65kph). Earlier, winds were reported as high as 56kts (64mph or 104kph). Seas have been as much as 30 feet.
According to the NHC, a recon pass through a strong convective burst in a feeder band reported 70kts (81mph or 130kph) to 75kts (86mph or 139kph) winds. The NHC felt it was a temporary burst and that most observations have been supportive of Ida’s current intensity.
As of 4:00 PM CST, there have been no storm reports from feeder bands moving onshore.
Recent land plots courtesy of NCAR RAP show the heaviest winds are still offshore with no land locations yet seeing tropical storm-force winds.
Southeast US observations as of Nov. 9, 3:43 PM CST
I will try and post another report later tonight.
Related posts:
- Patricia dies; Parma minutes from fifth landfall; Twenty-two will threaten Guam, become typhoon
- Typhoon Melor 9 hours from landfall; Parma exits Philippines where it came ashore as Typoon Saturday
- Hurricane Jimena hours from landfall, weakening to a category two
- Mirinae weak, 24 hours from Vietnam landfall; another Philippine system developing
- Parma, Nepartak – the most boring (and only) storms on Earth
