Tropical Weather Outlook

ABNT20 KNHC 301739

TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 PM EDT FRI JUL 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A FAST-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL

CARIBBEAN SEA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED

TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR UNTIL IT REACHES THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA

IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS

SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT

MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC

ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME LESS

ORGANIZED DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN AFRICA

AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS AND COULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE SMALLER

DISTURBANCE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15

MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE

FORMATION IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BERG